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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.66+2.25vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.03+0.34vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.67+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.79-2.77vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.22-2.38vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.43-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Wisconsin-0.660.1%1st Place
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3.34Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.38Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Michigan0.790.4%1st Place
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3.62University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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6.32Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Crowell | 12.6% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 5.7% |
| Sydney Mandell | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 7.7% |
| Mason Shaw | 15.7% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Finn Mahoney | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 24.3% | 9.2% |
| Graham Rebain | 39.5% | 25.2% | 18.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 14.2% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.