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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.79+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.22+1.59vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.38+0.87vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.67+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.66-0.67vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.03-2.65vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.43-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Michigan0.790.4%1st Place
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3.59University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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3.87Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.33Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Wisconsin-0.660.1%1st Place
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3.35Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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6.33Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Rebain | 41.1% | 25.5% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Hammett | 13.2% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Charles Crowell | 10.6% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 4.6% |
| Finn Mahoney | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 8.6% |
| Sydney Mandell | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 9.2% |
| Mason Shaw | 16.9% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.