Race 6B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nate Jermain 18.4% 17.0% 16.0% 14.3% 12.0% 9.2% 7.0% 2.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 23.7% 21.1% 16.3% 14.1% 9.5% 7.1% 4.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 15.0% 14.5% 15.5% 13.0% 11.5% 12.4% 7.4% 5.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2%
Cameron Fraser 11.6% 12.7% 12.1% 15.1% 10.4% 12.4% 9.9% 7.0% 5.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Jacob Tronaas 4.8% 4.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.7% 9.4% 10.5% 10.2% 13.2% 9.8% 9.3% 5.2% 0.9%
Conor Lodge 10.4% 11.0% 11.9% 11.9% 14.5% 10.2% 9.8% 9.5% 5.2% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Edward Moan 3.1% 2.7% 2.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 6.2% 9.2% 10.9% 11.7% 17.0% 17.6% 3.8%
Zachary O'Brien 2.0% 3.3% 2.5% 3.8% 3.4% 4.8% 8.6% 8.2% 11.3% 13.5% 15.3% 19.0% 4.3%
Christopher Hulse 3.0% 3.3% 3.5% 4.1% 7.1% 6.7% 7.8% 11.1% 11.5% 14.4% 12.8% 11.9% 2.8%
Justin Marks 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 4.2% 4.8% 9.7% 9.7% 11.2% 12.1% 11.6% 11.7% 9.0% 3.6%
Daniel Barry 2.5% 3.3% 4.5% 4.4% 8.0% 6.8% 8.9% 12.6% 11.5% 13.9% 11.6% 9.2% 2.8%
Terry Duncan 1.7% 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.0% 8.8% 8.4% 10.7% 13.7% 15.4% 18.1% 4.6%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 3.4% 9.3% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.