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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.60vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.71+2.36vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.07+2.62vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.35+5.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05+0.97vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.53-1.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.80-0.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25+0.08vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.89-2.99vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College-0.13-1.09vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.36vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.94-5.79vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.46-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.999.6%1st Place
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4.36Webb Institute1.7114.5%1st Place
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5.62Northeastern University1.079.8%1st Place
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9.62Amherst College-0.352.3%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island1.059.8%1st Place
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4.3Tufts University1.5317.2%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont0.808.9%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.254.8%1st Place
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6.01Connecticut College0.897.9%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College-0.133.4%1st Place
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8.64SUNY Maritime College-0.022.9%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University0.948.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Michigan-1.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reed McAllister | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Calvin Schmid | 14.5% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Joshua Dillon | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Nat Edmonds | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 15.2% |
Adam Strobridge | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Devon Owen | 17.2% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Allison Nystrom | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
Henry Scholz | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Lilly Saffer | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 9.0% |
Jeremy Lunati | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 7.8% |
Jakub Fuja | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
Alexander Manthous | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.