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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.80+0.93vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.76+3.02vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.32+0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11-1.32vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.71-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.39-1.38vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-4.17-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93University of Wisconsin0.800.5%1st Place
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5.02Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.23Miami University-0.320.1%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan0.110.2%1st Place
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3.76Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Michigan-1.390.0%1st Place
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6.76Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seamus Hendrickson | 47.2% | 26.8% | 15.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 23.1% | 42.8% | 6.7% |
| Connor Coate | 13.5% | 20.8% | 22.1% | 23.6% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 0.4% |
| Ted Sherman | 22.4% | 26.7% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 9.1% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 23.1% | 22.1% | 11.8% | 1.2% |
| Glen Warren | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 27.9% | 29.4% | 4.1% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.