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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+1.67vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.76+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.80-1.11vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.71-0.22vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.32-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.39-1.39vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-4.19-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Michigan0.110.2%1st Place
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4.99Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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1.89University of Wisconsin0.800.5%1st Place
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3.78Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.28Miami University-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Michigan-1.390.0%1st Place
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6.77Michigan State University-4.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 23.4% | 26.8% | 22.5% | 16.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 42.1% | 6.7% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 46.8% | 29.2% | 15.5% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 8.6% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 22.3% | 11.9% | 1.4% |
| Connor Coate | 12.7% | 18.3% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Glen Warren | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 28.0% | 29.8% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Acton | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 7.6% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.