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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.08+1.00vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.54+0.50vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24-0.14vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.83+0.70vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78+0.45vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.70-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Queen's University1.080.4%1st Place
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2.5Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
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2.86Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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2.98Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.2%1st Place
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5.7University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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6.45Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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5.5Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Fair | 41.6% | 28.8% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 23.9% | 27.6% | 25.6% | 20.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 15.6% | 23.5% | 26.9% | 27.7% | 5.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 16.8% | 18.1% | 24.7% | 32.4% | 7.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 4.3% | 32.5% | 39.6% | 21.0% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 12.5% | 21.2% | 64.1% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 38.8% | 37.6% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.