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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Fraser 11.5% 11.7% 12.4% 12.5% 11.9% 11.4% 10.3% 8.3% 4.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 17.1% 17.3% 15.3% 14.1% 11.4% 7.4% 8.8% 4.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 8.1% 11.5% 10.7% 11.5% 11.2% 13.2% 9.9% 8.5% 8.0% 4.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 23.9% 18.6% 16.8% 12.7% 11.1% 7.9% 4.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 15.9% 14.1% 13.3% 14.0% 11.8% 11.8% 8.0% 4.7% 2.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 1.8% 2.7% 3.1% 3.3% 4.1% 4.5% 5.9% 8.1% 10.2% 12.9% 15.4% 21.8% 6.2%
Jacob Tronaas 5.4% 3.9% 5.9% 6.2% 7.3% 7.7% 9.5% 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 9.6% 7.2% 1.6%
Christopher Hulse 3.3% 3.2% 4.3% 3.8% 4.8% 6.4% 8.0% 10.2% 11.7% 14.7% 13.8% 12.1% 3.7%
Tommy Holmberg 6.4% 6.8% 8.2% 8.0% 10.5% 10.5% 10.6% 12.0% 10.1% 7.4% 6.7% 2.5% 0.3%
Daniel Barry 2.9% 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 6.0% 9.6% 10.2% 10.9% 11.5% 14.8% 14.8% 3.3%
Terry Duncan 1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 5.3% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% 9.2% 11.2% 14.2% 14.4% 18.2% 4.6%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.8% 4.3% 8.9% 77.6%
Justin Marks 1.9% 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 12.4% 13.3% 15.8% 12.3% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.