Race 10B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Devon Owen 15.6% 15.6% 14.2% 11.9% 11.8% 9.1% 7.5% 5.8% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 9.8% 10.0% 9.3% 10.8% 10.9% 10.5% 9.4% 8.2% 6.8% 6.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Jeremy Lunati 3.2% 3.9% 3.8% 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 6.3% 8.6% 8.6% 10.9% 16.2% 15.5% 7.8%
Henry Scholz 8.8% 8.3% 9.9% 9.9% 8.5% 9.0% 10.2% 9.4% 9.0% 8.1% 5.3% 3.1% 0.5%
Calvin Schmid 17.2% 16.3% 14.4% 12.0% 10.8% 9.1% 7.5% 5.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 10.2% 9.2% 10.1% 10.1% 9.8% 10.5% 10.0% 8.4% 8.6% 7.3% 3.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Allison Nystrom 3.2% 4.9% 5.2% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 7.6% 9.3% 9.8% 13.1% 12.0% 12.3% 5.2%
Adam Strobridge 8.5% 8.3% 8.4% 9.3% 10.3% 10.2% 9.0% 10.9% 8.2% 7.5% 5.2% 3.1% 0.9%
Lilly Saffer 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 3.8% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 12.2% 15.3% 18.6% 8.2%
Nat Edmonds 2.5% 3.2% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.0% 6.1% 9.7% 9.7% 14.6% 21.5% 15.2%
Jakub Fuja 9.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.1% 8.3% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 9.4% 8.3% 6.1% 3.4% 0.8%
Alexander Manthous 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 3.3% 4.5% 7.8% 14.1% 59.6%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.4% 7.8% 8.6% 9.6% 9.6% 8.9% 10.0% 8.6% 9.9% 7.6% 6.3% 3.6% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.