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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+3.87vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+1.92vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+1.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.67-1.63vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-2.74vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.29+1.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-1.61vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.62-1.65vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.43-4.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-3.59vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35-4.10vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.69-1.66vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.71-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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5.32Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.26Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.1%1st Place
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8.35Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.35Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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8.9Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Connecticut-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.37University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 17.1% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 23.9% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 6.2% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Hulse | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 3.7% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 3.3% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 4.6% |
| Jemma O'Donnell | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 77.6% |
| Justin Marks | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.