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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+1.52vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.08-0.08vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24-0.20vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-1.05vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.70+0.11vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
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1.92Queen's University1.080.4%1st Place
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2.8Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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2.95Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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5.11Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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5.7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 23.7% | 26.8% | 25.7% | 21.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 44.1% | 28.9% | 17.9% | 8.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 17.8% | 21.7% | 26.7% | 30.1% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 13.6% | 20.5% | 27.9% | 33.8% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.6% | 66.3% | 25.5% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 23.2% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.