← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.85vs Predicted
-
2Penn State University0.54+0.46vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-0.08vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University1.08-2.04vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-2.70+0.11vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.85Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
-
2.46Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
-
2.92Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.2%1st Place
-
1.96Queen's University1.080.4%1st Place
-
5.11Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
-
5.7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 17.4% | 20.3% | 25.9% | 33.0% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Murphy | 24.4% | 28.6% | 25.3% | 19.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 16.5% | 18.1% | 27.1% | 33.5% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| James Fair | 40.9% | 31.4% | 19.2% | 8.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 66.6% | 25.4% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 23.3% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.