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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+1.52vs Predicted
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2Queen's University-1.46+0.99vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.40-1.56vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.22-0.27vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-2.95-0.54vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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2.99Queen's University-1.460.1%1st Place
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1.44Penn State University0.400.7%1st Place
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3.73Syracuse University-2.220.0%1st Place
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4.46Penn State Behrend-2.950.0%1st Place
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5.86Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Elliott | 15.8% | 37.5% | 29.3% | 14.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Alex Graham | 10.1% | 24.0% | 32.0% | 25.2% | 8.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Sullivan | 67.1% | 24.0% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Marhall | 4.9% | 9.8% | 21.1% | 36.4% | 26.8% | 1.0% |
| Velia Minerbi | 2.0% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 21.4% | 55.6% | 7.3% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 6.4% | 90.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.