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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.40+0.47vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+0.52vs Predicted
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3Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42+3.69vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend-2.95+0.90vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.22-0.98vs Predicted
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6Queen's University-1.46-2.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-3.39-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Penn State University0.400.6%1st Place
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2.52Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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6.69Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
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4.9Penn State Behrend-2.950.0%1st Place
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4.02Syracuse University-2.220.0%1st Place
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3.16Queen's University-1.460.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Rochester-3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Sullivan | 64.7% | 25.0% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 17.7% | 36.1% | 28.5% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 84.4% |
| Velia Minerbi | 1.1% | 3.6% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 32.7% | 31.2% | 5.1% |
| Graham Marhall | 4.8% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 31.7% | 25.9% | 11.0% | 1.2% |
| Alex Graham | 9.7% | 21.8% | 29.8% | 23.0% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Hermans | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 45.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.