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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.40+0.64vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-1.07+0.98vs Predicted
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3Queen's University-1.46+0.41vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-1.21vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.22-0.74vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Penn State University0.400.6%1st Place
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2.98Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.41Queen's University-1.460.1%1st Place
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2.79Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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4.26Syracuse University-2.220.0%1st Place
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5.92Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Sullivan | 56.9% | 27.0% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 13.0% | 24.7% | 27.1% | 22.5% | 12.4% | 0.3% |
| Alex Graham | 10.1% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 31.8% | 21.8% | 0.5% |
| Josh Elliott | 16.9% | 24.4% | 29.4% | 21.5% | 7.7% | 0.1% |
| Graham Marhall | 3.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 54.3% | 3.9% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 95.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.