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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University-1.46+2.31vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.40-0.40vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-0.34vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend-1.07-1.09vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.84-0.37vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Queen's University-1.460.1%1st Place
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1.6Penn State University0.400.6%1st Place
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2.66Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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2.91Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.63Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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5.89Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Graham | 9.5% | 15.8% | 24.5% | 35.3% | 14.4% | 0.5% |
| Claire Sullivan | 58.8% | 27.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 17.9% | 28.4% | 28.0% | 20.8% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 12.0% | 24.6% | 31.1% | 25.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 67.3% | 6.9% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 5.9% | 92.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.