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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.92vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.40-0.41vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-0.32vs Predicted
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4Queen's University-1.46-0.68vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.84-0.40vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.42-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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1.59Penn State University0.400.6%1st Place
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2.68Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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3.32Queen's University-1.460.1%1st Place
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4.6Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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5.89Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 14.3% | 23.1% | 28.1% | 25.9% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| Claire Sullivan | 58.7% | 27.0% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 17.5% | 27.3% | 29.9% | 20.7% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Graham | 7.8% | 18.5% | 23.0% | 36.2% | 14.0% | 0.5% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 66.9% | 6.7% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 6.0% | 92.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.