Race 11B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam Strobridge 7.8% 8.1% 8.7% 9.6% 8.7% 10.0% 8.8% 9.1% 9.8% 8.1% 7.4% 3.3% 0.8%
Reed McAllister 10.3% 10.0% 10.3% 9.4% 9.8% 9.5% 10.8% 9.2% 7.7% 5.9% 4.1% 2.6% 0.2%
Henry Scholz 9.7% 7.7% 9.2% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 8.5% 9.7% 10.3% 7.9% 6.7% 3.8% 0.7%
Lilly Saffer 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.0% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.0% 8.6% 11.6% 16.1% 19.1% 10.1%
Allison Nystrom 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 6.2% 5.5% 6.7% 6.8% 8.8% 8.8% 12.2% 14.5% 13.0% 5.0%
Devon Owen 15.8% 15.3% 13.1% 11.3% 11.2% 9.7% 7.5% 5.1% 5.2% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Nat Edmonds 2.3% 3.0% 2.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 4.9% 7.7% 9.2% 14.4% 22.2% 17.0%
Joshua Dillon 9.7% 9.0% 10.5% 10.0% 9.3% 10.3% 10.1% 9.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Calvin Schmid 15.7% 16.3% 14.1% 12.2% 11.2% 9.3% 7.1% 5.7% 4.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Jakub Fuja 8.4% 8.2% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 8.5% 9.9% 10.2% 10.1% 7.5% 6.2% 3.9% 0.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.0% 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 10.0% 8.8% 9.4% 10.8% 7.8% 8.1% 5.5% 3.9% 0.8%
Ben Hosford 4.8% 5.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.8% 9.2% 12.6% 10.9% 10.8% 3.2%
Alexander Manthous 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 6.3% 14.3% 61.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.