Race 8B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ben Weigel 22.7% 17.3% 19.0% 13.9% 10.1% 6.2% 4.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 18.7% 15.2% 14.5% 15.3% 12.1% 8.7% 6.6% 4.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 7.8% 12.4% 9.8% 11.2% 12.5% 11.8% 10.6% 8.3% 8.8% 4.0% 2.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Justin Marks 2.4% 3.1% 4.5% 5.2% 6.1% 6.2% 9.0% 9.7% 12.4% 13.6% 14.2% 11.2% 2.4%
Cameron Fraser 12.2% 13.8% 12.4% 11.1% 11.3% 10.8% 11.4% 7.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Tommy Holmberg 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 8.8% 8.5% 12.6% 11.0% 11.0% 9.4% 7.8% 5.7% 2.7% 0.2%
Zachary O'Brien 3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 2.2% 5.3% 5.0% 6.3% 6.6% 9.9% 12.5% 16.6% 22.9% 4.3%
Chandler Salisbury 14.6% 14.9% 13.5% 12.7% 13.2% 12.3% 7.8% 5.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 6.3% 6.0% 8.8% 9.0% 13.5% 11.6% 11.4% 10.4% 7.5% 1.6%
Christopher Hulse 3.0% 3.3% 4.4% 3.6% 5.1% 5.5% 8.8% 10.2% 12.5% 12.5% 13.4% 13.2% 4.5%
Terry Duncan 2.1% 1.5% 3.0% 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 6.3% 9.0% 11.5% 14.8% 13.4% 18.1% 5.3%
Daniel Barry 2.1% 3.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.3% 6.4% 7.2% 9.6% 11.2% 14.0% 16.7% 14.8% 2.6%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 2.1% 2.1% 3.8% 8.9% 78.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.