Race 12B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Calvin Schmid 16.0% 16.2% 12.8% 13.1% 10.8% 10.1% 7.0% 5.0% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Devon Owen 14.8% 13.5% 13.7% 12.2% 11.2% 9.3% 8.2% 6.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Nat Edmonds 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.9% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 6.9% 10.7% 13.9% 24.1% 16.6%
Henry Scholz 8.3% 8.2% 10.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 9.7% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 6.7% 2.9% 0.5%
Adam Strobridge 9.3% 8.7% 8.8% 9.0% 8.1% 8.8% 10.1% 10.5% 8.1% 8.3% 5.6% 3.8% 0.9%
Lilly Saffer 3.2% 3.5% 3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 4.5% 6.1% 6.3% 8.7% 11.8% 15.9% 18.5% 10.8%
Joshua Dillon 8.8% 10.7% 9.4% 9.6% 11.5% 10.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.9% 6.6% 4.1% 2.2% 0.5%
Jakub Fuja 8.5% 8.1% 9.1% 8.4% 9.5% 8.8% 8.9% 10.6% 9.2% 7.4% 7.1% 3.5% 1.1%
Alexander Manthous 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 2.2% 3.2% 4.4% 6.8% 14.2% 60.7%
Allison Nystrom 4.5% 3.8% 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 7.1% 6.9% 9.0% 9.3% 11.1% 13.2% 14.3% 4.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.9% 8.8% 9.2% 9.3% 8.1% 9.8% 10.3% 8.6% 9.0% 8.2% 5.7% 3.4% 0.7%
Ben Hosford 5.5% 5.2% 6.0% 5.8% 6.4% 6.9% 8.5% 8.4% 9.5% 11.5% 13.0% 9.9% 3.5%
Reed McAllister 9.0% 10.5% 9.4% 10.0% 10.9% 9.6% 9.2% 9.2% 7.5% 7.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.