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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.43+5.33vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.84+3.33vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+1.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.67-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41-2.13vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00-2.20vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.35+0.91vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.62-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.71-1.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-4.55vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.29-3.94vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-5.42vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.69-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.33Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.33Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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3.4Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Vermont3.410.2%1st Place
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4.8Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.91Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.36Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.21University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Connecticut-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 14.1% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ben Weigel | 22.7% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 19.0% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 1.7% |
| Justin Marks | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 2.6% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 6.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 3.1% |
| Jemma O'Donnell | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.