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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+2.47vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26-1.03vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.01-1.74vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.94-1.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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1.97Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
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2.26Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.44Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 10.8% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 27.1% | 27.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 41.2% | 31.7% | 17.6% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Jack Roman | 32.3% | 29.2% | 22.6% | 11.7% | 4.2% |
| Cole Amaral | 8.9% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 27.4% | 24.8% |
| Ella Demand | 6.8% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 26.1% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.