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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+1.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26-1.00vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.94-0.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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2.0Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
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3.42Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
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3.48Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 32.8% | 30.2% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 4.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 40.6% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Cole Amaral | 11.1% | 13.7% | 22.0% | 28.9% | 24.3% |
| Ella Demand | 5.7% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 24.2% | 41.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.8% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 25.8% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.