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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.26+1.01vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+0.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+0.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93-1.53vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.94-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
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2.25Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.43Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 41.3% | 30.0% | 18.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Jack Roman | 31.4% | 30.9% | 21.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% |
| Ella Demand | 8.0% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 24.1% | 42.3% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.1% | 14.6% | 22.7% | 27.0% | 26.6% |
| Cole Amaral | 10.2% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 28.0% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.