← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Bowdoin College0.94+1.43vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.01-0.76vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.93-0.55vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.16vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.26-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.43Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
-
2.24Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
-
3.45Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
-
3.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
-
2.05Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Amaral | 11.9% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 27.7% | 26.7% |
| Jack Roman | 31.9% | 31.8% | 20.6% | 11.8% | 3.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 10.2% | 14.1% | 24.1% | 24.2% | 27.4% |
| Ella Demand | 6.6% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 26.6% | 40.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 39.4% | 30.0% | 18.9% | 9.7% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.