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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+1.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+1.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+0.42vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.94-0.56vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.44Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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1.99Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 32.4% | 29.7% | 22.0% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Ella Demand | 6.0% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 25.6% | 41.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.7% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 27.0% | 25.3% |
| Cole Amaral | 10.2% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 27.4% | 26.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 41.7% | 30.6% | 16.5% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.