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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.41+2.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25+2.15vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.71-0.70vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.89-0.91vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.13-0.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88SUNY Maritime College0.419.6%1st Place
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4.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.259.6%1st Place
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2.3Webb Institute1.7134.6%1st Place
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3.09Connecticut College0.8919.1%1st Place
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4.58Connecticut College-0.136.4%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9920.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hosford | 9.6% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 22.8% | 17.9% |
| Allison Nystrom | 9.6% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 24.1% | 26.5% |
| Calvin Schmid | 34.6% | 27.9% | 18.9% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 19.1% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 6.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 41.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 20.6% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.