Race 10B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nate Jermain 18.1% 15.9% 15.5% 12.8% 12.0% 10.4% 6.6% 4.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 14.6% 13.7% 14.5% 14.0% 12.0% 9.7% 8.6% 6.8% 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 10.9% 11.7% 12.7% 13.0% 12.5% 10.4% 10.8% 7.6% 5.4% 2.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Barry 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 4.5% 6.3% 7.0% 8.3% 9.4% 11.0% 13.1% 13.2% 15.9% 3.2%
Conor Lodge 10.0% 11.4% 10.8% 11.3% 11.1% 10.5% 11.4% 10.5% 5.2% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Ben Weigel 22.5% 21.3% 16.2% 12.5% 10.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 5.1% 4.3% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6% 7.8% 10.4% 10.1% 11.9% 14.0% 9.5% 6.1% 1.3%
Justin Marks 2.8% 5.2% 4.1% 3.4% 5.8% 6.8% 9.0% 10.2% 13.5% 12.3% 14.4% 9.9% 2.6%
Terry Duncan 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 4.9% 5.4% 8.0% 10.8% 12.6% 17.3% 20.0% 6.0%
Tommy Holmberg 7.0% 6.5% 7.5% 9.6% 9.7% 12.1% 10.2% 10.9% 9.5% 7.2% 6.3% 3.1% 0.4%
Zachary O'Brien 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 4.2% 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% 9.2% 11.7% 13.6% 14.5% 19.6% 5.3%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 4.9% 8.8% 77.7%
Christopher Hulse 2.6% 2.3% 4.2% 3.7% 4.7% 7.1% 8.2% 8.2% 11.5% 14.6% 14.3% 15.2% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.