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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+1.25vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.94+1.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93-0.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.26-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.46Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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3.45Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
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2.0Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 32.8% | 29.7% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Cole Amaral | 8.7% | 15.5% | 22.8% | 27.4% | 25.6% |
| Blake Vogel | 10.2% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 26.4% | 26.8% |
| Ella Demand | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 25.9% | 40.9% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 41.3% | 30.1% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.