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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Roger Williams University2.01+0.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26-1.01vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.94-0.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93-1.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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1.99Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
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3.4Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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3.5Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 32.3% | 31.1% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.7% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 41.3% | 29.6% | 19.6% | 7.9% | 1.6% |
| Cole Amaral | 11.1% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 28.5% | 23.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 8.6% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 25.0% | 28.4% |
| Ella Demand | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 26.1% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.