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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.26+1.02vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01-0.77vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.94-0.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93-1.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
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2.23Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.42Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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3.49Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 41.3% | 29.9% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Jack Roman | 31.9% | 31.4% | 21.5% | 11.9% | 3.3% |
| Cole Amaral | 10.8% | 13.7% | 22.6% | 28.5% | 24.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.0% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 25.1% | 28.2% |
| Ella Demand | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 25.6% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.