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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.26+1.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01-0.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-0.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.94-1.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Boston College2.260.4%1st Place
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2.25Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
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3.45Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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3.45Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 41.4% | 29.7% | 18.4% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Jack Roman | 31.4% | 30.8% | 21.8% | 12.9% | 3.1% |
| Ella Demand | 8.0% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 42.3% |
| Cole Amaral | 9.1% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 26.8% | 25.8% |
| Blake Vogel | 10.1% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 28.2% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.