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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+6.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+2.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.76+1.12vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.50+3.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.93+1.42vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.14-0.19vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.41+1.28vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+4.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+0.48vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.35+2.19vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.85-4.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.15-2.54vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.45-1.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-5.62vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.39-0.74vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-2.23vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.18-0.84vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.17Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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4.12Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
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7.87Northeastern University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston University1.410.1%1st Place
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12.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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12.19Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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14.26Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.77Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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16.16Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 16.1% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Stapleton | 17.3% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Buck Rathbun | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| reece schwartz | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 16.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 13.3% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 52.4% |
| Ryan Begin | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.