← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.66+6.52vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.76+2.07vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.73+1.16vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.50+3.84vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.41+3.14vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.14-0.17vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.93-0.58vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.85-1.43vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.15+0.12vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-0.25vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College0.45+0.77vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-3.10vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.35-1.15vs Predicted
-
14Williams College-1.18+1.94vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.08-2.12vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-0.39-1.65vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-4.70vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University-0.20-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.52Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
-
4.07Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
-
4.16Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
-
7.84Northeastern University1.500.1%1st Place
-
8.14Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
-
5.83Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.42Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.57Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
-
9.12University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
-
11.77Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
-
8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.0%1st Place
-
11.85Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
-
15.94Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
-
12.88University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
14.35Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
-
12.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
13.61Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Stapleton | 16.4% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 16.2% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Teo | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| reece schwartz | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 49.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| John O'Connell | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.