← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.66+6.51vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.73+2.21vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.76+1.12vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.14+1.71vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.85+1.69vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+3.55vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.41+1.22vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31+0.54vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.93-2.62vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.15-0.62vs Predicted
-
11Williams College-1.18+5.04vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+0.50vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.35-1.14vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.50-6.27vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University-0.39-0.75vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University-0.20-2.21vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.08-3.96vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College0.45-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.51Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
-
4.21Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
-
4.12Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
-
5.71Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.69Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
-
9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
-
8.22Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
-
8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
-
6.38Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
9.38University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
16.04Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
-
12.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
11.86Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
-
7.73Northeastern University1.500.1%1st Place
-
14.25Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
-
13.79Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
13.04University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
11.48Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 14.8% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Stapleton | 17.7% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 7.3% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Max Teo | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 50.4% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 12.1% |
| Ryan Begin | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.