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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+5.61vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.50+6.17vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.41+5.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66+3.26vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.20+8.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31+2.60vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.73-2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.15+1.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+0.46vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.76-5.85vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.14-5.17vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.85-5.06vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.45-1.47vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-2.04vs Predicted
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15Williams College-1.18+1.06vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.08-3.01vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.39-2.64vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.35-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.17Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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13.63Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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4.02Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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4.15Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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11.53Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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11.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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16.06Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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14.36Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.9Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Max Teo | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 11.9% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 20.0% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Noah Stapleton | 18.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 50.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 7.8% |
| John O'Connell | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 18.3% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.