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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.70+5.57vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+3.66vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+1.77vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.08+1.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74+1.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.48+1.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.49+0.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.42-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.39+4.40vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.07+2.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.64-0.75vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.33-4.06vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.15-0.45vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-4.50vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.86-0.46vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.16-4.25vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34-5.73vs Predicted
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18Williams College-3.87-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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4.77Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.12Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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12.21Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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12.55Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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14.54Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.75Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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17.75Williams College-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leila Pfrang | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Gear | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 1.2% |
| Robert Heath | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 0.5% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Ladd | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Welsh | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 0.9% |
| Jan Mistak | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 37.8% | 2.9% |
| Richard Kalich | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 0.3% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Gr Kairyt | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.