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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.08+4.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+4.44vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+1.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.33+3.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74+3.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.49+0.13vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.48-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.70-2.73vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.42-2.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+0.25vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.07+0.34vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.16-1.46vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.64-4.15vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.15-2.32vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.39-2.56vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.86-2.41vs Predicted
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18Williams College-3.87-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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7.13Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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7.56Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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12.34Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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11.54Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.68Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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13.44University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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14.59Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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17.73Williams College-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Angus | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 15.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Mistak | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Julian Dahiya | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leila Pfrang | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Heath | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 1.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Graham Welsh | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 0.4% |
| William Gear | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 1.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 36.1% | 3.9% |
| Gr Kairyt | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 92.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.