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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.86+2.58vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.48+0.52vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.19+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis1.68-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19+0.09vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.04-2.66vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.44-2.21vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.02-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.92-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Berkeley1.860.1%1st Place
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3.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.480.2%1st Place
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8.45California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Davis1.680.1%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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6.34Santa Clara University1.040.1%1st Place
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7.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.440.0%1st Place
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8.5California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Davis0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Pedrick | 30.8% | 24.4% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Sundberg | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Delle Cese | 17.4% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 25.1% |
| Ryan Lee | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Mickail Murawski | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kenton Stutz | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 21.1% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Anthony Absy | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 14.2% |
| Trevor Fournier | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 28.9% |
| Brittany Hirsch | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.