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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.44+1.96vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+0.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.38-0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.80-0.51vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.49-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96McGill University-0.4417.2%1st Place
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2.39Middlebury College0.0328.3%1st Place
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2.11Brown University0.3836.7%1st Place
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3.49University of Connecticut-0.8011.2%1st Place
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4.04Williams College-1.496.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eben Dooling | 17.2% | 20.1% | 26.1% | 22.1% | 14.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 28.3% | 29.0% | 22.7% | 15.2% | 4.8% |
| Charles Case | 36.7% | 30.1% | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Treat | 11.2% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 30.1% | 26.9% |
| Caleb Kohn | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.