← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.45+7.96vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.78+5.51vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.50+5.73vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.65+3.83vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.90+5.98vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.26vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.38+2.06vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.86+3.15vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College3.71-1.49vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.34+3.53vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.54vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College3.23-1.92vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.10-2.91vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.39-5.27vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.90-3.94vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-5.03vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida3.29-7.43vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.96Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.51College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
-
8.73Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.83Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.98Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
9.06Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.15University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
7.51Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
13.53University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
10.08Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
-
10.09Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
-
8.73Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
11.06University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
-
9.57University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Shannon Heausler | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Margaret Tautz | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% |
| Megan Magill | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 28.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.