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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+0.88vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.33+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.40+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.36+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11+0.29vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.31-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.28-1.68vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.27-2.50vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.98-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Western Washington University1.8123.9%1st Place
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2.88University of Washington1.8324.9%1st Place
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3.99Western Washington University1.3314.5%1st Place
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3.98University of Washington1.0715.3%1st Place
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7.68University of Oregon-0.402.4%1st Place
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7.69University of Washington-0.362.6%1st Place
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7.29University of Oregon0.113.5%1st Place
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5.85Western Washington University0.315.9%1st Place
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7.32University of Washington-0.283.5%1st Place
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7.5Oregon State University-0.272.8%1st Place
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8.77University of Oregon-0.980.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Leif Hauge | 23.9% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Benjamin Stone | 24.9% | 24.1% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Adam Turloff | 14.5% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Lucien Freemesser | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Rowan Clinch | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
Jaxon Gordon | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 14.2% |
Emily Avey | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.2% |
Ellie Blakemore | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Alice Meng | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 10.3% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.4% |
Euseekers Williams | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.