Race 1A

boston-fr

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olin Guck 8.2% 8.9% 9.0% 9.0% 9.3% 11.1% 11.9% 10.9% 11.5% 10.0%
Ryan McGauley 14.3% 13.4% 14.9% 11.8% 11.8% 11.2% 7.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.3%
Laura Hamilton 17.3% 15.3% 12.7% 13.5% 10.8% 11.6% 7.4% 5.8% 4.0% 1.5%
Andy Yu 14.5% 16.6% 14.1% 12.8% 11.9% 10.5% 8.6% 5.5% 3.9% 1.6%
Tiare Sierra 9.4% 9.5% 10.8% 10.3% 11.7% 10.7% 11.6% 11.5% 8.0% 6.7%
Michelangelo Vecchio 12.2% 11.8% 11.5% 11.9% 11.2% 10.9% 10.7% 9.7% 7.0% 3.2%
William Wiegand 5.0% 4.4% 4.7% 6.2% 8.6% 6.8% 10.5% 12.4% 17.0% 24.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 8.6% 7.4% 9.2% 9.9% 9.0% 9.4% 11.2% 11.7% 12.4% 11.1%
Blake Vogel 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.1% 8.1% 8.9% 9.8% 12.8% 16.4% 16.8%
Ted Lutton 5.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.3% 7.5% 8.9% 10.6% 12.2% 14.9% 22.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.