Race 11B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 15.4% 13.1% 14.1% 14.6% 11.4% 8.3% 10.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 17.2% 15.8% 16.8% 13.1% 11.4% 10.2% 6.2% 5.0% 2.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 22.2% 20.6% 13.5% 14.7% 11.0% 9.0% 4.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 5.6% 8.1% 9.6% 10.5% 9.8% 12.1% 11.0% 12.4% 6.6% 1.2%
Cameron Fraser 11.5% 13.2% 13.1% 12.6% 9.4% 11.4% 9.4% 9.0% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Conor Lodge 10.9% 10.1% 10.6% 11.7% 12.1% 11.5% 10.0% 8.4% 7.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.3% 6.0% 7.5% 9.3% 13.7% 17.7% 20.1% 4.9%
Justin Marks 2.7% 4.8% 3.4% 3.9% 5.4% 7.2% 9.8% 9.6% 12.1% 14.8% 13.3% 11.5% 1.5%
Christopher Hulse 3.0% 3.0% 4.0% 3.6% 5.8% 5.7% 7.6% 9.4% 12.2% 13.5% 14.9% 14.1% 3.2%
Daniel Barry 3.0% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 5.1% 6.6% 7.5% 10.2% 12.4% 13.0% 13.6% 12.7% 4.9%
Tommy Holmberg 5.9% 7.0% 9.0% 9.7% 10.9% 9.6% 12.1% 13.1% 8.6% 7.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.2%
Terry Duncan 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 4.4% 5.7% 5.1% 7.9% 11.8% 12.6% 15.6% 21.9% 5.4%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2.5% 3.6% 9.2% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.