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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.26+3.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.08+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.70+3.49vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.33+3.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.74+0.27vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74+2.66vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.42-0.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+1.98vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.64+0.27vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.16+0.64vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.15+0.81vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.48-6.03vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.49-7.14vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.39-1.84vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.07-4.07vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.70-1.07vs Predicted
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18Williams College-3.87-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.64Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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12.81Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.86Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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13.16University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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15.93Bentley University-1.700.0%1st Place
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17.68Williams College-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tanner krygsveld | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Mistak | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Leila Pfrang | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Graham Welsh | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 8.4% | 0.9% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Gear | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 11.1% | 0.6% |
| Robert Heath | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Kokkotos | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 58.1% | 9.5% |
| Gr Kairyt | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 6.7% | 88.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.