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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.26+3.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+4.40vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.08+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.70+2.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.48+1.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.42+0.30vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.64+1.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+2.04vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.33-2.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.49-3.80vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.16-0.11vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.15-0.56vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.07-2.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-5.38vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.39-2.74vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.70-1.09vs Predicted
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18Williams College-3.87-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.4Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.21Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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9.95Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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11.89Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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12.44Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.63Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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15.91Bentley University-1.700.0%1st Place
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17.68Williams College-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tanner krygsveld | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 12.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leila Pfrang | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Ladd | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Graham Welsh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 7.2% | 0.5% |
| Robert Heath | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Jan Mistak | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Gear | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 12.8% | 1.0% |
| Grace Kokkotos | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 57.7% | 9.5% |
| Gr Kairyt | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 6.8% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.