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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.15+1.29vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.15+0.29vs Predicted
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3Rice University0.28-0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Kansas-1.82+0.66vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.92-1.44vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-1.18-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-1.62-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Texas A&M University0.150.3%1st Place
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2.29Texas A&M University0.150.3%1st Place
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2.06Rice University0.280.4%1st Place
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4.66University of Kansas-1.820.1%1st Place
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3.56Rice University-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.96Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Riley | 31.0% | 31.9% | 20.7% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 31.0% | 31.9% | 20.7% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 41.0% | 29.0% | 17.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Scheer | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 25.9% | 38.9% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Forrest | 10.5% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 23.9% | 21.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gourley | 7.7% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 23.1% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Mark Carella | 4.8% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.