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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-1.18+2.88vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.15+0.23vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.15-0.77vs Predicted
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4Rice University0.28-1.93vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.92-1.43vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.62-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Kansas-1.82-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
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2.23Texas A&M University0.150.3%1st Place
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2.23Texas A&M University0.150.3%1st Place
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2.07Rice University0.280.4%1st Place
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3.57Rice University-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Texas-1.620.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Kansas-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gourley | 8.1% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 24.9% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 33.7% | 32.0% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 33.7% | 32.0% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 39.4% | 29.5% | 19.6% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Forrest | 10.6% | 13.2% | 24.2% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Carella | 5.1% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 25.9% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Scheer | 3.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 25.3% | 40.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.