Race 12B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 15.5% 13.9% 13.1% 12.9% 12.3% 11.8% 9.1% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 18.2% 15.4% 16.9% 11.8% 12.8% 9.7% 6.4% 4.3% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 10.8% 12.8% 11.6% 10.8% 13.2% 12.6% 8.4% 9.2% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Conor Lodge 9.2% 10.3% 10.6% 12.2% 12.4% 9.5% 10.5% 9.7% 8.6% 4.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Tommy Holmberg 6.8% 7.2% 9.1% 9.2% 8.7% 10.3% 10.9% 12.1% 9.1% 8.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.2%
Zachary O'Brien 1.8% 2.7% 2.3% 3.9% 3.3% 4.4% 8.1% 7.4% 9.1% 12.9% 16.8% 22.5% 4.8%
Jacob Tronaas 5.0% 4.9% 6.2% 6.5% 5.8% 7.8% 9.5% 11.9% 12.1% 11.9% 10.1% 7.0% 1.3%
Ben Weigel 22.7% 20.5% 14.6% 15.0% 10.8% 8.1% 3.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Hulse 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 4.7% 4.6% 5.9% 7.3% 9.4% 12.5% 12.9% 15.8% 13.4% 3.7%
Justin Marks 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 3.7% 5.4% 7.2% 10.3% 9.1% 12.3% 12.3% 12.4% 12.7% 2.9%
Daniel Barry 2.5% 2.2% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 10.8% 12.3% 13.2% 14.1% 12.0% 2.6%
Terry Duncan 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 4.9% 7.5% 7.3% 8.7% 14.0% 16.4% 21.6% 5.2%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 3.0% 4.0% 7.7% 78.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.