Race 2A

boston-fr

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan McGauley 14.3% 13.7% 13.2% 12.8% 12.2% 12.0% 7.8% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 10.0% 10.2% 11.9% 11.3% 12.7% 12.0%
Olin Guck 7.9% 8.6% 8.6% 10.0% 10.7% 9.8% 12.8% 11.8% 10.8% 9.0%
Michelangelo Vecchio 11.8% 12.3% 11.3% 11.3% 11.9% 12.3% 10.1% 8.8% 7.0% 2.9%
Laura Hamilton 17.1% 14.4% 15.8% 13.2% 9.6% 9.9% 8.6% 5.5% 4.2% 1.7%
Tiare Sierra 9.8% 9.2% 9.1% 10.8% 10.8% 10.5% 11.2% 11.1% 9.6% 7.8%
Ted Lutton 5.6% 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 7.2% 8.1% 9.7% 13.8% 16.3% 20.0%
William Wiegand 4.2% 5.7% 6.8% 6.7% 6.5% 8.3% 9.4% 10.5% 15.8% 26.0%
Andy Yu 15.4% 17.1% 14.8% 11.5% 12.4% 9.4% 7.9% 6.3% 3.5% 1.6%
Blake Vogel 6.5% 5.3% 5.9% 7.8% 8.8% 9.4% 10.6% 13.6% 15.4% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.