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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.15+1.16vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.28-0.01vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-1.18+0.54vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.92-0.70vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.15-2.84vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.62-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Texas A&M University0.150.3%1st Place
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1.99Rice University0.280.4%1st Place
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3.54Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
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3.3Rice University-0.920.1%1st Place
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2.16Texas A&M University0.150.3%1st Place
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4.0University of Texas-1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Riley | 34.4% | 32.0% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 40.1% | 31.2% | 19.4% | 8.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gourley | 9.7% | 11.6% | 20.7% | 30.5% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Forrest | 10.4% | 16.0% | 27.2% | 25.9% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 34.4% | 32.0% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Carella | 5.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 24.7% | 47.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.