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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.65vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+1.51vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.38vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.26vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.24-0.07vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.90-2.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.73vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.45-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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4.51Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.72George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.33Cornell University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.5% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 18.9% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 17.9% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 11.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 25.4% | 37.5% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 22.8% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.