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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.43vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+0.87vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+0.35vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90-0.42vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.31vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24-2.06vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.45-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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4.35Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.58George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.32Cornell University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 20.5% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.2% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 16.8% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 26.1% | 37.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 12.4% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 24.2% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.