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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.25vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.94vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+1.75vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.31vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+0.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54-2.60vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01-2.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.75vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.45-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.75George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.87Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.4U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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4.5Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 14.2% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 18.0% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 14.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 21.2% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 26.0% | 36.3% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 23.6% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.