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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+3.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+5.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.53vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13-0.88vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01-1.59vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24-0.95vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.45-0.69vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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3.53U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.41Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.05Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.31Cornell University0.450.0%1st Place
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3.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 2.8% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 24.7% | 40.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 19.3% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 16.6% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 12.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 11.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 22.6% | 40.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 15.8% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.