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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+3.71vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+4.32vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.45+3.21vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13-0.85vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-2.21vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01-2.50vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24-2.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.54-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.21Cornell University0.450.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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4.5Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.0Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 13.9% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 24.2% | 39.6% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 22.9% | 36.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 14.5% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 13.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 21.4% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.