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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.31vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+1.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+2.76vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90-0.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54-2.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-3.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24-2.30vs Predicted
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9Cornell University-1.69-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.38Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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4.45George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.32U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.7Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 17.9% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 45.6% | 6.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 12.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 1.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 21.5% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.7% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 24.5% | 20.9% | 2.6% |
| Nikhil Damji | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 88.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.