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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+2.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+1.76vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05+0.83vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+0.07vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.67-0.25vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48-1.11vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.60-4.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.80-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8016.4%1st Place
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4.12Brown University1.8517.7%1st Place
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4.76Bowdoin College1.4813.8%1st Place
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5.36Boston University1.149.8%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island1.057.7%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University1.187.0%1st Place
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6.75Bates College0.674.2%1st Place
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6.89Boston University0.484.9%1st Place
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4.57Boston College1.6012.6%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University0.806.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andy Yu | 16.4% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
Laura Hamilton | 17.7% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
Michelangelo Vecchio | 13.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
Tiare Sierra | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
Olin Guck | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% |
Ted Lutton | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 20.5% |
William Wiegand | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 22.9% |
Ryan McGauley | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
Blake Vogel | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.