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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.65vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.90+2.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+0.76vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+0.25vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+0.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54-2.67vs Predicted
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7Cornell University-1.69+1.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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4.71George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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4.25Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.61Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.33U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 17.7% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.9% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 23.1% | 21.1% | 2.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 20.8% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikhil Damji | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 8.3% | 87.1% |
| Langdon Wallace | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 46.2% | 9.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.