← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.65vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.87vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.90+1.56vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.24+1.65vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.01-0.77vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.92vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.54-3.63vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.12vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University-1.69-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
-
3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
-
4.56George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
-
5.65Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
-
4.23Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
-
3.37U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
-
6.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
8.7Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 18.1% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 14.3% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 23.7% | 20.2% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 12.5% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 14.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 21.2% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 46.6% | 9.6% |
| Nikhil Damji | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 7.4% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.